{"id":9879,"date":"2020-04-09T21:58:37","date_gmt":"2020-04-09T12:58:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/?p=9879"},"modified":"2020-04-11T10:01:17","modified_gmt":"2020-04-11T01:01:17","slug":"%e6%96%b0%e5%9e%8b%e3%82%b3%e3%83%ad%e3%83%8a%e3%82%a6%e3%82%a4%e3%83%ab%e3%82%b9%e6%84%9f%e6%9f%93%e7%97%87%e3%81%ae%e7%8f%be%e5%9c%a8%e3%81%ae%e7%8a%b6%e6%b3%81-1-4%e6%9c%889%e6%97%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/?p=9879","title":{"rendered":"\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1- (4\u67089\u65e5)"},"content":{"rendered":"

SARS-CoV-2\u306b\u3088\u308bCOVID-19\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u539a\u52b4\u7701\u306e\u300c\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u300d\u306e\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\uff08\u539a\u52b4\u7701\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u624b\u5165\u529b\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u3059\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3059\u306a\u308f\u3061\u30014\u67089\u65e5\u6642\u70b9\u3001\u56fd\u5185\u611f\u67d3\u80054768\u4eba\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u60a3\u80053109\u4eba\u3001\u7121\u75c7\u72b6\u30ad\u30e3\u30ea\u30a2396\u4eba\u3001\u6b7b\u4ea1\u800585\u4eba<\/strong>\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8d64\u306e\u7e26\u7dda\u306f\u3001\u7dca\u6025\u4e8b\u614b\u5ba3\u8a00\u767a\u4ee4\u65e5\uff082020\/4\/7\uff09<\/span>\u3067\u3059\u3002
\n\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7dca\u6025\u4e8b\u614b\u5ba3\u8a00\u767a\u4ee4\u306e\u3082\u3068\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u30a8\u30d3\u30c7\u30f3\u30b9\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3000\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u767a\u4ee4\u306f\u3001\u300cWeak recommendation\u300d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\n\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n 
\n<\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u56f3\u304b\u3089\u306fCOVID-19\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6025\u5897\u3057\u3064\u3064\u3082\u4eca\u5f8c\u982d\u6253\u3061\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u304b\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u611f\u67d3\u5bfe\u7b56\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306e\u7dca\u6025\u4e8b\u614b\u5ba3\u8a00\u306e\u4e00\u3064\u306b\u306f\u300180%\u63a5\u89e6\u5236\u9650\u30fc2\u9031\u9593\u3068\u3044\u3046\u63d0\u8a00\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u300c\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u300d\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\uff08\u3053\u308c\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u8a73\u7d30\u306f\u4e0d\u660e\u3067\u3059\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

[SIR\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb]<\/b>\uff08\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/a>\uff09
\n
\nS\uff1aSusceptible\uff08\u611f\u53d7\u6027\u8005\uff1a\u30ef\u30af\u30c1\u30f3\u304c\u306a\u3044\u5834\u5408\u306f\u975e\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3057\u3066\u3088\u3044\uff09\u3001
\nI\uff1aInfectious\uff08\u611f\u67d3\u6027\u8005\uff1a\u611f\u67d3\u529b\u306e\u3042\u308b\u611f\u67d3\u8005\uff09\u3001
\nR\uff1aRemoved\uff08\u9664\u53bb\u8005\uff1d\u75c5\u9662\u306b\u9694\u96e2\u3055\u308c\u305f\u4eba\uff0b\u6297\u4f53\u3092\u7372\u5f97\u3057\u3066\u611f\u67d3\u3057\u306a\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f\u4eba\uff0b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\uff09
\n<\/b>
\n<\/p>\n

\u3042\u308b\u65e5\uff08t\uff09\u306e\u3001\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u306e\u30b0\u30eb\u30fc\u30d7\u306e\u4eba\u6570\u304c\u3001S(t), I(t), R(t)\u3002
\nS(t)\u4eba\u306e\u975e\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u3068 I(t)\u4eba\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u304c\u63a5\u89e6\u3057\u3066\u65b0\u898f\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u969b\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u7387\u3092b\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002
\n\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u306e\u4e00\u90e8\u304c\u75c5\u9662\u306b\u9694\u96e2\u3055\u308c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u9694\u96e2\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5272\u5408\uff08\u9664\u53bb\u7387\uff09\u3092c\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u300c\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570I(t)\u306e\u5909\u5316\u7387 I\u2019(t)\u300d\u306f<\/p>\n

I\u2019(t) = bS(t)I(t) \uff0d cI(t)\u3000\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001<\/p>\n

bS(t)I(t)\u306f\u305d\u306e\u65e5\u306b\u65b0\u305f\u306b\u611f\u67d3\u3059\u308b\u4eba\u306e\u6570\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u300c\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u5897\u52a0\u7387 S\u2019(t)\u300d\u3067
\ncI(t)\u306f\u305d\u306e\u65e5\u306b\u65b0\u305f\u306b\u9664\u53bb\u3055\u308c\u305f\u4eba\u306e\u6570\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u300c\u9664\u53bb\u8005\u5897\u52a0\u7387 R\u2019(t)\u300d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

I\u2019(t) = S\u2018(t) \uff0d R\u2019(t)\u306e\u5f0f\u304c\u30de\u30a4\u30ca\u30b9\u306b\u306a\u308c\u3070\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u306f\u53ce\u675f\u306b\u5411\u304b\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n

********************************
\n\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

\n\u77e2\u539f \u5fb9\u4e00\u3000https:\/\/jbpress.ismedia.jp\/articles\/gallery\/59778?photo=2<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n 
\n********************************
\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001
\n\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u201d\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/a>\u201d\u304c\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u529b\u306e\u9ad8\u3044SARS-CoV-2\u611f\u67d3\u5bfe\u7b56\u306b\u3069\u308c\u307b\u3069\u5f79\u7acb\u3064\u304b\u306f\u4e0d\u660e\u3067\u3059\uff082\u9031\u9593\u5f8c\u306b\u306f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u59a5\u5f53\u6027\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f\u5358\u306b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u80fd\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3001\u672c\u6765\u306e\u76ee\u7684\uff1d\u611f\u67d3\u62e1\u5927\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4f4e\u4e0b\u306e\u76ee\u6a19\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30ab\u30e0\u3068\u306f\u3084\u3084\u7570\u306a\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u306a\u305c\u306a\u3089\u3070\u3001\u4e0a\u8a18\u5f0f\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u611f\u67d3\u7387\uff08b\uff09\u3084\u9664\u53bb\u7387\uff08c\uff09\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u56fd\u5225\u3001\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u56fd\u5185\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u90fd\u9053\u5e9c\u770c\u5225\u306e\u5dee\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3067\u3059\u3002
\n\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u611f\u67d3\u591a\u767a\/\u5897\u52a0\u5730\u533a\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u7dca\u6025\u4e8b\u614b\u5ba3\u8a00\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304c\u3001\u5f53\u8a72\u611f\u67d3\u591a\u767a\u5730\u533a\u304b\u3089\u306e\u4eba\u53e3\u79fb\u52d5\u304c\u3042\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3001\u8981\u56e0(b)\u3092\u5927\u304d\u304f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3055\u3089\u306b\u306f\u3001\u8981\u56e0(c)\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u4f75\u5b58\u75c7\u3001\u5e74\u9f62\u3001\u5730\u57df\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u533b\u7642\u306e\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u3084\u8cc7\u6e90\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u307e\u3059\uff08\u4ea4\u7d61\u56e0\u5b50\u304b\u3064\u52b9\u679c\u4fee\u98fe\u56e0\u5b50\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u3082\u305d\u3082\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u304c\u300c80%\u63a5\u89e6\u5236\u9650\u30922\u9031\u9593\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4ecb\u5165\u3092\u63a8\u5968\uff08GRADE\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u201dweak recommendation=\u63d0\u6848\/\u6761\u4ef6\u4ed8\u304d\u201d\uff09<\/span>\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3082\u300180%\u63a5\u89e6\u5236\u9650\u306e\u9054\u6210\u7387\uff08\uff1d\u4ecb\u5165\u9075\u5b88\u7387\uff09\u304c\u3001\u4ecb\u5165\u6210\u7acb\u306e\u8a2d\u5b9a\u4ee5\u4e0b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/strong>
\n\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\uff08\u6b63\u78ba\u306a\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u304c\uff09\u3001\u76ee\u7684\u306e\u4ecb\u5165\u304c\u9054\u6210\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306e\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u30bf\u30a4\u30e0\u306e\u628a\u63e1\u3068\u8fc5\u901f\u306a\u5bfe\u5fdc\u5909\u66f4\u304c\u5fc5\u9808\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7dca\u6025\u4e8b\u614b\u5ba3\u8a00\u767a\u4ee4\u5f8c\u3067\u3082\u3001\u6e80\u54e1\u96fb\u8eca\u901a\u52e4\u306e\u6620\u50cf\u304c\u4eca\u671d\u653e\u6620\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30ab\u30fc\u30d6\u304c\u4e0b\u964d\u7dda\u306b\u5411\u304b\u3063\u3066\u307b\u3057\u3044\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u898f\u5236\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u306f\u4e0d\u5341\u5206\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u3001\u4e00\u8a00\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb
\n\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u63a8\u5968\u4e8b\u9805\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u63a8\u5968\u306e\u5f37\u3055\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u3001\u30a8\u30d3\u30c7\u30f3\u30b9\u306e\u8cea\uff08\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\uff09\u3068\u305d\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u6839\u62e0\u3092\u660e\u793a\u3057\u3066\u307b\u3057\u3044\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/b><\/span>
\n\u305d\u306e\u307b\u3046\u304c\u3001\u5f53\u8a72\u63a8\u5968\u306e\u5b9f\u52b9\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002
\n
\n 
\n<\/p>\n

\u30a8\u30d3\u30c7\u30f3\u30b9\u7dcf\u4f53\u306e\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u8a55\u4fa1\u3084\u3001\u63a8\u5968\u306e\u5f37\u3055\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3059\u308b\u57fa\u672c\u306f\u3001\u533b\u5b66\u6587\u732e\u30e6\u30fc\u30b6\u30fc\u30ba\u30ac\u30a4\u30c9\uff13\u7248<\/b><\/span><\/a>\u3001\u8a3a\u7642\u30ac\u30a4\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306eGRADE\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\uff13\u7248<\/b><\/span><\/a>\u3092\u53c2\u7167\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

\n 
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

SARS-CoV-2\u306b\u3088\u308bCOVID-19\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u539a\u52b4\u7701\u306e\u300c\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u306e\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u300d\u306e\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\uff08\u539a\u52b4\u7701\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u624b\u5165\u529b\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u3059\uff09\u3002 \u3059\u306a\u308f\u3061\u30014\u67089\u65e5\u6642\u70b9\u3001\u56fd\u5185\u611f\u67d3\u800547 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[470],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9879"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9879"}],"version-history":[{"count":34,"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9879\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9919,"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9879\/revisions\/9919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9879"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9879"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/aihara.la.coocan.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9879"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}